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Table of Contents

Table of Contents
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Assigned Reading

Although our text does not conduct a formal probability review, it would be advised that you consult your prerequisite course's probability textbook. The free, online Khan Academy also has a nice collection of short probability and statistics tutorials covering a wide variety to topics applicable to this course.

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Chain Rule for Integration

Rules of Differentiation

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Chain Rule for Differentiation

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Integer Series Identities

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If 0 < p < 1, then

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If ≠ 1, then

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If a ≠ 1, then

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where, k factorial = k! = (k)(k - 1)(k - 2)(...)(1).

Combinations of Choosing k from n Elements

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Frequently Used Random Variables

Exponential Continuous Random Variable

RV X with parameter α parameter α > 0.Supports  that supports [0, ∞)

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Memoryless property:

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Uniform Continuous Random Variable

RV X.Supports  that supports [a, b]

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Bernoulli Discrete Random Variable

RV X with parameter 0 < p < 1.Supports k that supports k = {0, 1} 

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Binomial Discrete Random Variable

RV X with parameters positive integer n > and 0 , 0 < p < 1.Supports k that supports k = {0, 1, ..., n} 

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Geometric Discrete Random Variable

RV X with parameter 0 < p < 1 indicating the probability of success.

The number X of Bernoilli trials needed to get one success, supported on the set k = {1, 2, ...}

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Memoryless property:

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The number of Y = X - 1 failures before the first success, supported on the set k = {0, 1, ...}.


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Poisson Discrete Random Variable

RV X with parameter λ > 0 that supports k = {0, 1, ...}

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Review of Random Variables (RVs)

Cumulative Distribution Function

A RV X is defined by a function FX(x), called a cumulative distribution function (CDF) of X, which has the following properties:

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Example

CDF of a RV:

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Probability

For a RV X and any value a, FX(a) represents the probability that X is less than or equal to a, i.e.:

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Probability Space

FX(x) defines a probability space, and

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Continuous RVs

If the CDF of FX(x) of the RV X is a continuous function of x, then X is a continuous RV.

Example

CDF of a continuous RV:

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CDF of a non-continous RV:

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Probability Density Function

If a RV X is continuous, and there is a function fX(x), called the probability density function (PDF), such that:

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then X is an absolutely continuous RV.

If X is differentiable at x, then:

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The following are properties of a PDF:

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Example

PDF of a continuous RV that is uniformly distributed on the interval [0,C]:

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PDF of a continuous RV that is exponentially distributed with parameter α > 0:

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Discrete Random Variables

If the CDF FX(x) of a RV X is constant between any two consecutive values in a discrete set of increasing values of x, X is referred to as a discrete random variable.

Example

CDF of a discrete RV:

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Probability Mass Function

If a RV X is discrete, and FX(x), has step increases at the points {..., x-1, x0, x1, ...}, then:

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If there is a smallest value xj at which a step increase occurs in FX(x), then:

 

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piX is referred to as the probability mass function (PMF) of X{..., x-1, x0, x1, ...} is referred to as the support of X. Note that piX atx = xi is often referred to as pX(xi).

The following are properties of a PMF:

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Example

A discrete RV X that is binomially distributed with parameters N and 0 <= p <= 1 with support x0.Supports k = {0, 1, ...}  = 0, x1 = 1, ..., xN = N and a PMF:

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Expected Value

The expected value (i.e. mean or statistical average) of a RV X is given by:

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Autocorrelation

The autocorrelation of a RV X is given by:

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nth Moment

The nth moment of a RV X is given by:

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Variance

The variance of a RV X is given by:

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Standard Deviation

The standard deviation of a RV X is given by:

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Expected Value of a Function

The expected value of a function of a RV X is given by:

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Examples of Mean, Variance, Standard Deviation, etc.

Continuous RVs

Consider the RV X with uniform distribution over [0,1]:

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Suppose h(x) = x3/2:

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Discrete RVs

Consider the RV X with binomial distribution and parameters N = 2 and p = 0.2. Support of X is {x0 = 0, x1 = 1, x2 = 2}.

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Suppose h(x) = x1/2:

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Joint Characterization of RVs

Jointly Continuous RVs

Two jointly (absolutely) continuous RVs X and Y are defined by a joint PDF:

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and a joint CDF:

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Jointly continuous RVs have the following properties:

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Example

Consider RVs X and Y with a joint PDF:

 

Find Pr(X - Y < 1):

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Jointly Discrete RVs

Two jointly discrete RVs X and Y are characterized by a support:

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a joint PMF {pi,j} for all i and j, and a joint CDF given by:

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with the following properties:

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Marginal PDFs

The PDFs of the individual absolutely continuous RVs, or marginal PDFs, are determined from the joint PDF by:

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Marginal PMFs

The PMFs of the individual absolutely discrete RVs, or marginal PMFs, are determined from the joint PMF by:

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Shorthand Notation

If no ambiguity results, subscripts or superscripts for the PDF, PMF, or CDF are often omitted. For example:

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Cross-Correlation

Continuous RVs

The cross-correlation of two jointly absolutely continuous RVs X and Y is given by:

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Discrete RVs

The cross-correlation of two jointly discrete RVs X and Y is given by:

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Covariance

The covariance of two RVs X and Y is given by:

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If the Cov(X,Y) = 0, X and Y are uncorrelated.

Independence

Continuous RVs

Two jointly absolutely continuous RVs X and Y are independent if:

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Or equivalently:

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Discrete RVs

Two jointly discrete RVs X and Y are independent if:

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Or equivalently:

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Conditional Probability

Continuous RVs

Conditional PDF

If X and Y are jointly absolutely continuous RVs, the conditional PDF of X given Y is defined as:

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If fY(y) ≠ 0:

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So, fX|Y(y) is a valid PDF for the RV X given Y = y. This is written as X | Y = y.

Conditional CDF

If X and Y are jointly absolutely continuous RVs and fY(y) ≠ 0, the conditional CDF of X given Y = y is defined as:

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If X and Y are jointly absolutely continuous RVs and Pr(Y in the set B) ≠ 0, the conditional CDF of X given in the set B is defined as:

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Examples

Example 1

B = (-∞, a], then Y in the set B ↔ Y ≤ a.

Example 2

B = [0,1] U [3,4], then Y in the set B ↔ (0 ≤ Y ≤ 1 or 3 ≤ Y ≤ 4).

Example 3

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For 0 ≤ y ≤ 1:

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For y < 0 or y > 1fX|Y(x|y) = 0 and FX|Y(x|y) is not defined.

Discrete RVs

Conditional PMF

Suppose X and Y are jointly discrete RVs with support {(xi,yj)}, i and j integers. The conditional PMF of X given Y is defined as:

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If pjY != 0:

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So, pi|jX|Y, i = ..., -1, 0, 1, ... is a valid PMF for the RV X given Y = yj, with support {..., x-1, x0, x1, ...}.

Conditional CDF

If X and Y are jointly discrete RVs and pjY != 0, the conditional CDF of X given Y = yj is defined as:

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If X and Y are jointly discrete RVs and Pr(Y in the set B) != 0, the conditional CDF of X given Y in the set B is defined as:

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